Captain room

Not just who scores most, but who moves your rank. That depends on how many rivals already own and captain them.

★ The pick

B.Fernandes over Haaland: the chasing captain

Their expected points are close (5.7 against 5.1). Their ownership is not (50.0% against 69.4%). If B.Fernandes goes big and Haaland does not, you gain on most of the field. The reverse costs you less than it costs everyone else, because most of them were never going to catch Haaland anyway. Safe pick: Haaland.

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The full shortlist: every sensible armband, what each is expected to return doubled, and how much of the field already owns them.

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Updated Thu 20 Aug, 18:11