00Football, modelled

Probabilities, not predictions.

A model ensemble across ten football competitions. Calibrated, verifiable, updated daily.

Live on the App Store. Top five leagues free.

iOS now on the App Store. Leave an email for Android and updates.

0Competitions
0Players tracked
0WC fixtures modelled
0Simulations daily

Your rank is a probability problem.

01Fantasy Finding Space

FPL, played with the numbers.

The same engine, pointed at Fantasy Premier League. Expected points for every player five gameweeks ahead, a captain call every week, and a differential the field has not caught up with — all logged before kick-off and scored in public.

  • Every player, every gameweek, ranked by expected points
  • Captain and differential chosen by a stated rule, not vibes
  • A public track record marked against what actually happened
See this week's numbers

No tipsters. No hype. Just numbers.

02Per-match predictions

Every match, mathematically.

A model ensemble runs over every fixture in ten competitions. Calibrated probabilities for 1X2, over/under, BTTS, correct score — refreshed daily.

  • Same model output as bookmakers price against
  • Calibrated using five seasons of historical results
  • Verifiable: open the methodology, check the maths

Not predictions. Probabilities.

03The Scout

Where the model disagrees with the market.

The Scout surfaces fixtures where our probability differs meaningfully from the bookmakers' line. Strong, moderate, or speculative — confidence is graded, never embellished.

  • Live Pinnacle odds compared against model output
  • Edge magnitude shown explicitly, not hidden behind ratings
  • Filter by competition, market, minimum odds

Calibrated. Verifiable. Yours.

04Track record

We showed our work at the World Cup.

Every one of the 104 matches, measured against the model's pre-match prediction. It called the exact four semi-finalists, the champion and the Golden Boot, and beat the closing line on the knockouts. The one honest weakness, goals, is written up in full. Nothing hidden.

Top 4
by probability were the exact four semi-finalists
#1
Spain, the model's clear favourite, won it
1 & 2
Golden Boot: top two picks were the top two scorers
Beat
the closing line on the World Cup knockouts
Read the full World Cup post-mortem
05Methodology

We don't hide the maths.

Our ensemble blends multiple statistical and machine-learning approaches into a single calibrated probability per outcome. We backtest publicly, document our calibration, and price models per competition. We don't tell you which specific algorithms — that's our edge — but we'll show you what they produce and how well they perform.

Read the methodology
06How it works

Three steps. No homework.

  1. Sign up in seconds

    Email + password. No card needed to start. Top five leagues are free, forever.

  2. Open the app

    Every match in your followed competitions is already modelled. Probabilities are calibrated and timestamped — you can verify them against any sharp book.

  3. Decide for yourself

    We show the maths. We don't tell you what to bet. Pick what fits your strategy or just enjoy the modelling.

The model is open. The decisions are yours.

On the App Store now · Android coming soon

Finding Space is an analytics tool, not a betting platform. We show probabilities; you decide what to do with them. Bet responsibly. Set a limit you can afford to lose, and stick to it. BeGambleAware.